View source for Post-election pendulum for the 2019 Australian federal election

{{short description|none}}
{{see also|Pre-election pendulum for the 2019 Australian federal election}}
{{Use Australian English|date=April 2024}}
{{Use dmy dates|date=April 2022}}
{{2019 Australian federal election sidebar}}
The Coalition won the [[2019 Australian federal election|2019 federal election]] with a three-seat majority of 77 of 151 lower house seats. Labor holds 68 seats, and [[crossbencher]]s hold the remaining six.<ref name="seatsummary">{{cite web |title=Seat summary |url=https://tallyroom.aec.gov.au/HouseSeatSummary-24310.htm |website=AEC Tally Room |publisher=Australian Electoral Commission |accessdate=20 June 2019}}</ref>
Classification of seats as marginal, fairly safe or safe is applied by the independent [[Australian Electoral Commission]] using the following definition: "Where a winning party receives less than 56% of the vote, the seat is classified as 'marginal', 56–60% is classified as 'fairly safe' and more than 60% is considered 'safe'."<ref name=divclassification>[http://vtr.aec.gov.au/HouseDivisionClassifications-20499-NAT.htm Division Classifications], ''Virtual Tally Room 2016'', Australian Electoral Commission. Retrieved 21 August 2016.</ref>
==Pendulum==
The [[Mackerras pendulum]] was devised by the Australian [[psephology|psephologist]] [[Malcolm Mackerras]] as a way of predicting the outcome of an election contested between [[two-party system|two major parties]] in a [[Westminster system|Westminster]]-style [[lower house]] legislature such as the [[Australian House of Representatives]], which is composed of [[single-member district|single-member electorates]] and uses a [[ranked voting|preferential voting]] system such as a [[Condorcet method]] or [[instant-runoff voting]].
The pendulum works by lining up the seats held in Parliament for the [[government of Australia|government]], the [[opposition (Australia)|opposition]] and the [[crossbencher|crossbenches]] according to the [[percentage point]] margin by which they are held on a two-party preferred basis. That is also known as the [[swing (Australian politics)|swing]] that is required for the seat to change hands. With a uniform swing to the opposition or government parties, the number of seats changing hands can be predicted.
{| class="toccolours" cellpadding="5" cellspacing="0" style="float:left; margin-right:.5em; margin-top:.4em; font-size:90%;"
|-
| colspan="4"  style="text-align:center; background:blue;"|<span style="color:white;">'''Government seats'''</span>
|-
| colspan="4"  style="text-align:center; background:blue;"|<span style="color:white;">'''Marginal'''</span>
|- style="background:#a6e7ff;"
| [[Division of Bass|Bass (TAS)]]
| [[Bridget Archer]]
| LIB
| style="text-align:center;"| 50.41
|- style="background:#a6e7ff;"
| [[Division of Chisholm|Chisholm (VIC)]]
| [[Gladys Liu]]
| LIB
| style="text-align:center;"| 50.57
|- style="background:#a6e7ff;"
| [[Division of Wentworth|Wentworth (NSW)]]
| [[Dave Sharma]]
| LIB v IND
| style="text-align:center;"| 51.31
|- style="background:#a6e7ff;"
| [[Division of Boothby|Boothby (SA)]]
| [[Nicolle Flint]]
| LIB
| style="text-align:center;"| 51.38
|- style="background:#a6e7ff;"
| [[Division of Swan|Swan (WA)]]
| [[Steve Irons]]
| LIB
| style="text-align:center;"| 52.69
|- style="background:#a6e7ff;"
| [[Division of Braddon|Braddon (TAS)]]
| [[Gavin Pearce]]
| LIB
| style="text-align:center;"| 53.09
|- style="background:#a6e7ff;"
| [[Division of Reid|Reid (NSW)]]
| [[Fiona Martin]]
| LIB
| style="text-align:center;"| 53.18
|- style="background:#a6e7ff;"
| [[Division of Longman|Longman (QLD)]]
| [[Terry Young (Australian politician)|Terry Young]]
| LNP
| style="text-align:center;"| 53.28
|- style="background:#a6e7ff;"
| [[Division of Higgins|Higgins (VIC)]]
| [[Katie Allen (politician)|Katie Allen]]
| LIB
| style="text-align:center;"| 53.88
|- style="background:#a6e7ff;"
| [[Division of Leichhardt|Leichhardt (QLD)]]
| [[Warren Entsch]]
| LNP
| style="text-align:center;"| 54.17
|- style="background:#a6e7ff;"
| [[Division of Robertson|Robertson (NSW)]]
| [[Lucy Wicks (politician)|Lucy Wicks]]
| LIB
| style="text-align:center;"| 54.24
|- style="background:#a6e7ff;"
| [[Division of La Trobe|La Trobe (VIC)]]
| [[Jason Wood (politician)|Jason Wood]]
| LIB
| style="text-align:center;"| 54.49
|- style="background:#a6e7ff;"
| [[Division of Dickson|Dickson (QLD)]]
| [[Peter Dutton]]
| LNP
| style="text-align:center;"| 54.64
|- style="background:#a6e7ff;"
| [[Division of Casey|Casey (VIC)]]
| [[Tony Smith (Victorian politician)|Tony Smith]]
| LIB
| style="text-align:center;"| 54.64
|- style="background:#a6e7ff;"
| [[Division of Deakin|Deakin (VIC)]]
| [[Michael Sukkar]]
| LIB
| style="text-align:center;"| 54.78
|- style="background:#a6e7ff;"
| [[Division of Brisbane|Brisbane (QLD)]]
| [[Trevor Evans (politician)|Trevor Evans]]
| LNP
| style="text-align:center;"| 54.92
|- style="background:#a6e7ff;"
| [[Division of Lindsay|Lindsay (NSW)]]
| [[Melissa McIntosh]]
| LIB
| style="text-align:center;"| 55.04
|- style="background:#a6e7ff;"
| [[Division of Hasluck|Hasluck (WA)]]
| [[Ken Wyatt]]
| LIB
| style="text-align:center;"| 55.39
|- style="background:#a6e7ff;"
| [[Division of Flinders|Flinders (VIC)]]
| [[Greg Hunt]]
| LIB
| style="text-align:center;"| 55.64
|- style="background:#a6e7ff;"
| [[Division of Stirling|Stirling (WA)]]
| [[Vince Connelly]]
| LIB
| style="text-align:center;"| 55.65
|- style="background:#a6e7ff;"
| [[Division of Kooyong|Kooyong (VIC)]]
| [[Josh Frydenberg]]
| LIB v GRN
| style="text-align:center;"| 55.70
|-
| colspan="4"  style="text-align:center; background:blue;"|<span style="color:white;">'''Fairly safe'''</span>
|- style="background:#50d8f9;"
| [[Division of Ryan|Ryan (QLD)]]
| [[Julian Simmonds]]
| LNP
| style="text-align:center;"| 56.03
|- style="background:#50d8f9;"
| [[Division of Banks|Banks (NSW)]]
| [[David Coleman (Australian politician)|David Coleman]]
| LIB
| style="text-align:center;"| 56.26
|- style="background:#98fc98;"
| [[Division of Cowper|Cowper (NSW)]]
| [[Pat Conaghan]]
| NAT v IND
| style="text-align:center;"| 56.79
|- style="background:#50d8f9;"
| [[Division of Sturt|Sturt (SA)]]
| [[James Stevens (Australian politician)|James Stevens]]
| LIB
| style="text-align:center;"| 56.87
|- style="background:#50d8f9;"
| [[Division of Bennelong|Bennelong (NSW)]]
| [[John Alexander (Australian politician)|John Alexander]]
| LIB
| style="text-align:center;"| 56.91
|- style="background:#50d8f9;"
| [[Division of Monash|Monash (VIC)]]
| [[Russell Broadbent]]
| LIB
| style="text-align:center;"| 57.36
|- style="background:#50d8f9;"
| [[Division of Bonner|Bonner (QLD)]]
| [[Ross Vasta]]
| LNP
| style="text-align:center;"| 57.41
|- style="background:#50d8f9;"
| [[Division of Pearce|Pearce (WA)]]
| [[Christian Porter]]
| LIB
| style="text-align:center;"| 57.52
|- style="background:#50d8f9;"
| [[Division of Menzies|Menzies (VIC)]]
| [[Kevin Andrews (politician)|Kevin Andrews]]
| LIB
| style="text-align:center;"| 57.53
|- style="background:#50d8f9;"
| [[Division of Goldstein|Goldstein (VIC)]]
| [[Tim Wilson (Australian politician)|Tim Wilson]]
| LIB
| style="text-align:center;"| 57.79
|- style="background:#50d8f9;"
| [[Division of Herbert|Herbert (QLD)]]
| [[Phillip Thompson]]
| LNP
| style="text-align:center;"| 58.36
|- style="background:#50d8f9;"
| [[Division of Petrie|Petrie (QLD)]]
| [[Luke Howarth]]
| LNP
| style="text-align:center;"| 58.40
|- style="background:#50d8f9;"
| [[Division of Forde|Forde (QLD)]]
| [[Bert van Manen]]
| LNP
| style="text-align:center;"| 58.60
|- style="background:#98fc98;"
| [[Division of Flynn|Flynn (QLD)]]
| [[Ken O'Dowd]]
| LNP
| style="text-align:center;"| 58.66
|- style="background:#50d8f9;"
| [[Division of North Sydney|North Sydney (NSW)]]
| [[Trent Zimmerman]]
| LIB
| style="text-align:center;"| 59.27
|- style="background:#98fc98;"
| [[Division of Page|Page (NSW)]]
| [[Kevin Hogan (politician)|Kevin Hogan]]
| NAT
| style="text-align:center;"| 59.45
|- style="background:#50d8f9;"
| [[Division of Hughes|Hughes (NSW)]]
| [[Craig Kelly (politician)|Craig Kelly]]
| LIB
| style="text-align:center;"| 59.85
|-
| colspan="4"  style="text-align:center; background:blue;"|<span style="color:white;">'''Safe'''</span>
|- style="background:#31c3ff;"
| [[Division of Aston|Aston (VIC)]]
| [[Alan Tudge]]
| LIB
| style="text-align:center;"| 60.13
|- style="background:#31c3ff;"
| [[Division of Bowman|Bowman (QLD)]]
| [[Andrew Laming]]
| LNP
| style="text-align:center;"| 60.24
|- style="background:#31c3ff;"
| [[Division of Wannon|Wannon (VIC)]]
| [[Dan Tehan]]
| LIB
| style="text-align:center;"| 60.38
|-  style="background:#31c3ff;"
| [[Division of Farrer|Farrer (NSW)]]
| [[Sussan Ley]]
| LIB v IND
| style="text-align:center;"| 60.94
|-  style="background:#31c3ff;"
| [[Division of Tangney|Tangney (WA)]]
| [[Ben Morton (politician)|Ben Morton]]
| LIB
| style="text-align:center;"| 61.47
|-  style="background:#31c3ff;"
| [[Division of Canning|Canning (WA)]]
| [[Andrew Hastie]]
| LIB
| style="text-align:center;"| 61.55
|-  style="background:#31c3ff;"
| [[Division of Moore|Moore (WA)]]
| [[Ian Goodenough]]
| LIB
| style="text-align:center;"| 61.65
|-  style="background:#31c3ff;"
| [[Division of McPherson|McPherson (QLD)]]
| [[Karen Andrews]]
| LNP
| style="text-align:center;"| 62.20
|- style="background:#98ff44;"
| [[Division of Capricornia|Capricornia (QLD)]]
| [[Michelle Landry]]
| LNP
| style="text-align:center;"| 62.35
|-  style="background:#31c3ff;"
| [[Division of Fisher|Fisher (QLD)]]
| [[Andrew Wallace]]
| LNP
| style="text-align:center;"| 62.70
|-  style="background:#31c3ff;"
| [[Division of Hume|Hume (NSW)]]
| [[Angus Taylor (politician)|Angus Taylor]]
| LIB
| style="text-align:center;"| 62.99
|- style="background:#98ff44;"
| [[Division of Wide Bay|Wide Bay (QLD)]]
| [[Llew O'Brien]]
| LNP
| style="text-align:center;"| 63.15
|-  style="background:#31c3ff;"
| [[Division of Mackellar|Mackellar (NSW)]]
| [[Jason Falinski]]
| LIB
| style="text-align:center;"| 63.22
|- style="background:#98ff44;"
| [[Division of Calare|Calare (NSW)]]
| [[Andrew Gee (politician)|Andrew Gee]]
| NAT
| style="text-align:center;"| 63.29
|-  style="background:#31c3ff;"
| [[Division of Grey|Grey (SA)]]
| [[Rowan Ramsey]]
| LIB
| style="text-align:center;"| 63.32
|-  style="background:#31c3ff;"
| [[Division of Fairfax|Fairfax (QLD)]]
| [[Ted O'Brien (Australian politician)|Ted O'Brien]]
| LNP
| style="text-align:center;"| 63.44
|-  style="background:#31c3ff;"
| [[Division of Fadden|Fadden (QLD)]]
| [[Stuart Robert]]
| LNP
| style="text-align:center;"| 64.18
|-  style="background:#31c3ff;"
| [[Division of Curtin|Curtin (WA)]]
| [[Celia Hammond (politician)|Celia Hammond]]
| LIB
| style="text-align:center;"| 64.33
|- style="background:#98ff44;"
| [[Division of New England|New England (NSW)]]
| [[Barnaby Joyce]]
| NAT v IND
| style="text-align:center;"| 64.36
|-  style="background:#31c3ff;"
| [[Division of O'Connor|O'Connor (WA)]]
| [[Rick Wilson (Australian politician)|Rick Wilson]]
| LIB
| style="text-align:center;"| 64.48
|- style="background:#98ff44;"
| [[Division of Hinkler|Hinkler (QLD)]]
| [[Keith Pitt]]
| LNP
| style="text-align:center;"| 64.50
|-  style="background:#31c3ff;"
| [[Division of Forrest|Forrest (WA)]]
| [[Nola Marino]]
| LIB
| style="text-align:center;"| 64.56
|-  style="background:#31c3ff;"
| [[Division of Wright|Wright (QLD)]]
| [[Scott Buchholz]]
| LNP
| style="text-align:center;"| 64.58
|- style="background:#98ff44;"
| [[Division of Dawson|Dawson (QLD)]]
| [[George Christensen]]
| LNP
| style="text-align:center;"| 64.61
|-  style="background:#31c3ff;"
| [[Division of Durack|Durack (WA)]]
| [[Melissa Price (politician)|Melissa Price]]
| LIB
| style="text-align:center;"| 64.76
|- style="background:#98ff44;"
| [[Division of Lyne|Lyne (NSW)]]
| [[David Gillespie (Australian politician)|David Gillespie]]
| NAT
| style="text-align:center;"| 65.17
|-  style="background:#31c3ff;"
| [[Division of Moncrieff|Moncrieff (QLD)]]
| [[Angie Bell]]
| LNP
| style="text-align:center;"| 65.36
|-  style="background:#31c3ff;"
| [[Division of Berowra|Berowra (NSW)]]
| [[Julian Leeser]]
| LIB
| style="text-align:center;"| 65.65
|- style="background:#98ff44;"
| [[Division of Mallee|Mallee (VIC)]]
| [[Anne Webster]]
| NAT
| style="text-align:center;"| 66.23
|-  style="background:#31c3ff;"
| [[Division of Bradfield|Bradfield (NSW)]]
| [[Paul Fletcher (politician)|Paul Fletcher]]
| LIB
| style="text-align:center;"| 66.56
|- style="background:#98ff44;"
| [[Division of Gippsland|Gippsland (VIC)]]
| [[Darren Chester]]
| NAT
| style="text-align:center;"| 66.67
|- style="background:#98ff44;"
| [[Division of Parkes|Parkes (NSW)]]
| [[Mark Coulton]]
| NAT
| style="text-align:center;"| 66.91
|-  style="background:#31c3ff;"
| [[Division of Mitchell|Mitchell (NSW)]]
| [[Alex Hawke]]
| LIB
| style="text-align:center;"| 68.63
|-  style="background:#31c3ff;"
| [[Division of Barker|Barker (SA)]]
| [[Tony Pasin]]
| LIB
| style="text-align:center;"| 68.94
|-  style="background:#31c3ff;"
| [[Division of Cook|Cook (NSW)]]
| [[Scott Morrison]]
| LIB
| style="text-align:center;"| 69.02
|- style="background:#98ff44;"
| [[Division of Riverina|Riverina (NSW)]]
| [[Michael McCormack (Australian politician)|Michael McCormack]]
| NAT
| style="text-align:center;"| 69.48
|- style="background:#98ff44;"
| [[Division of Nicholls|Nicholls (VIC)]]
| [[Damian Drum]]
| NAT
| style="text-align:center;"| 70.03
|-  style="background:#31c3ff;"
| [[Division of Groom|Groom (QLD)]]
| [[John McVeigh (politician)|John McVeigh]]
| LNP
| style="text-align:center;"| 70.48
|- style="background:#98ff44;"
| [[Division of Maranoa|Maranoa (QLD)]]
| [[David Littleproud]]
| LNP v ONP
| style="text-align:center;"| 72.49
|}
{| class="toccolours" cellpadding="5" cellspacing="0" style="float:left; margin-right:.5em; margin-top:.4em; font-size:90%;"
|-
| colspan="4"  style="text-align:center; background:red;"|<span style="color:white;">'''Non-government seats'''</span>
|-
| colspan="4"  style="text-align:center; background:red;"|<span style="color:white;">'''Marginal'''</span>
|- style="background:#cfc;"
|- style="background:#fdd;"
| [[Division of Macquarie|Macquarie (NSW)]]
| [[Susan Templeman]]
| ALP
| style="text-align:center;"| 50.19
|- style="background:#fdd;"
| [[Division of Lilley|Lilley (QLD)]]
| [[Anika Wells]]
| ALP
| style="text-align:center;"| 50.64
|- style="background:#fdd;"
| [[Division of Cowan|Cowan (WA)]]
| [[Anne Aly]]
| ALP
| style="text-align:center;"| 50.83
|- style="background:#fdd;"
| [[Division of Eden-Monaro|Eden-Monaro (NSW)]]
| [[Mike Kelly (Australian politician)|Mike Kelly]]
| ALP
| style="text-align:center;"| 50.85
|- style="background:#fdd;"
| [[Division of Corangamite|Corangamite (VIC)]]
| [[Libby Coker]]
| ALP
| style="text-align:center;"| 51.07
|- style="background:#fdd;"
| [[Division of Blair|Blair (QLD)]]
| [[Shayne Neumann]]
| ALP
| style="text-align:center;"| 51.21
|- style="background:#fdd;"
| [[Division of Dobell|Dobell (NSW)]]
| [[Emma McBride]]
| ALP
| style="text-align:center;"| 51.50
|- style="background:#fdd;"
| [[Division of Moreton|Moreton (QLD)]]
| [[Graham Perrett]]
| ALP
| style="text-align:center;"| 51.90
|- style="background:#fdd;"
| [[Division of Gilmore|Gilmore (NSW)]]
| [[Fiona Phillips (politician)|Fiona Phillips]]
| ALP
| style="text-align:center;"| 52.61
|- style="background:#fdd;"
| [[Division of Dunkley|Dunkley (VIC)]]
| [[Peta Murphy]]
| ALP
| style="text-align:center;"| 52.74
|- style="background:#fdd;"
| [[Division of Greenway|Greenway (NSW)]]
| [[Michelle Rowland]]
| ALP
| style="text-align:center;"| 52.80
|- style="background:#fdd;"
| [[Division of Griffith|Griffith (QLD)]]
| [[Terri Butler]]
| ALP
| style="text-align:center;"| 52.86
|- style="background:#fdd;"
| [[Division of Hunter|Hunter (NSW)]]
| [[Joel Fitzgibbon]]
| ALP
| style="text-align:center;"| 52.98
|- style="background:#fdd;"
| [[Division of Solomon|Solomon (NT)]]
| [[Luke Gosling]]
| ALP
| style="text-align:center;"| 53.08
|- style="background:#fdd;"
| [[Division of Parramatta|Parramatta (NSW)]]
| [[Julie Owens]]
| ALP
| style="text-align:center;"| 53.50
|- style="background:#fdd;"
| [[Division of Richmond|Richmond (NSW)]]
| [[Justine Elliot]]
| ALP
| style="text-align:center;"| 54.08
|- style="background:#fdd;"
| [[Division of Shortland|Shortland (NSW)]]
| [[Pat Conroy (politician)|Pat Conroy]]
| ALP
| style="text-align:center;"| 54.45
|- style="background:#fdd;"
| [[Division of Perth|Perth (WA)]]
| [[Patrick Gorman (politician)|Patrick Gorman]]
| ALP
| style="text-align:center;"| 54.93
|- style="background:#fdd;"
| [[Division of Burt|Burt (WA)]]
| [[Matt Keogh]]
| ALP
| style="text-align:center;"| 54.99
|- style="background:#fdd;"
| [[Division of McEwen|McEwen (VIC)]]
| [[Rob Mitchell (Victorian politician)|Rob Mitchell]]
| ALP
| style="text-align:center;"| 55.02
|- style="background:#fdd;"
| [[Division of Paterson|Paterson (NSW)]]
| [[Meryl Swanson]]
| ALP
| style="text-align:center;"| 55.04
|- style="background:#fdd;"
| [[Division of Lyons|Lyons (TAS)]]
| [[Brian Mitchell (politician)|Brian Mitchell]]
| ALP
| style="text-align:center;"| 55.18
|- style="background:#fdd;"
| [[Division of Lingiari|Lingiari (NT)]]
| [[Warren Snowdon]]
| ALP
| style="text-align:center;"| 55.46
|- style="background:#fdd;"
| [[Division of Werriwa|Werriwa (NSW)]]
| [[Anne Stanley (politician)|Anne Stanley]]
| ALP
| style="text-align:center;"| 55.47
|- style="background:#fdd;"
| [[Division of Hotham|Hotham (VIC)]]
| [[Clare O'Neil]]
| ALP
| style="text-align:center;"| 55.91
|-
| colspan="4"  style="text-align:center; background:red;"|<span style="color:white;">'''Fairly safe'''</span>
|- style="background:#fcc;"
| [[Division of Macnamara|Macnamara (VIC)]]
| [[Josh Burns (politician)|Josh Burns]]
| ALP
| style="text-align:center;"| 56.25
|- style="background:#fcc;"
| [[Division of Oxley|Oxley (QLD)]]
| [[Milton Dick]]
| ALP
| style="text-align:center;"| 56.39
|- style="background:#fcc;"
| [[Division of Isaacs|Isaacs (VIC)]]
| [[Mark Dreyfus]]
| ALP
| style="text-align:center;"| 56.43
|- style="background:#fcc;"
| [[Division of Rankin|Rankin (QLD)]]
| [[Jim Chalmers]]
| ALP
| style="text-align:center;"| 56.44
|- style="background:#fcc;"
| [[Division of Hindmarsh|Hindmarsh (SA)]]
| [[Mark Butler]]
| ALP
| style="text-align:center;"| 56.54
|- style="background:#fcc;"
| [[Division of Jagajaga|Jagajaga (VIC)]]
| [[Kate Thwaites]]
| ALP
| style="text-align:center;"| 56.57
|- style="background:#fcc;"
| [[Division of McMahon|McMahon (NSW)]]
| [[Chris Bowen]]
| ALP
| style="text-align:center;"| 56.64
|- style="background:#fcc;"
| [[Division of Brand|Brand (WA)]]
| [[Madeleine King]]
| ALP
| style="text-align:center;"| 56.66
|- style="background:#fcc;"
| [[Division of Fremantle|Fremantle (WA)]]
| [[Josh Wilson (politician)|Josh Wilson]]
| ALP
| style="text-align:center;"| 56.92
|- style="background:#fcc;"
| [[Division of Bean|Bean (ACT)]]
| [[David Smith (Australian Capital Territory politician)|David Smith]]
| ALP
| style="text-align:center;"| 57.52
|- style="background:#fcc;"
| [[Division of Wills|Wills (VIC)]]
| [[Peter Khalil]]
| ALP v GRN
| style="text-align:center;"| 58.17
|- style="background:#fcc;"
| [[Division of Adelaide|Adelaide (SA)]]
| [[Steve Georganas]]
| ALP
| style="text-align:center;"| 58.18
|- style="background:#fcc;"
| [[Division of Macarthur|Macarthur (NSW)]]
| [[Mike Freelander]]
| ALP
| style="text-align:center;"| 58.40
|- style="background:#fcc;"
| [[Division of Holt|Holt (VIC)]]
| [[Anthony Byrne (politician)|Anthony Byrne]]
| ALP
| style="text-align:center;"| 58.70
|- style="background:#fcc;"
| [[Division of Kingsford Smith|Kingsford Smith (NSW)]]
| [[Matt Thistlethwaite]]
| ALP
| style="text-align:center;"| 58.81
|- style="background:#fcc;"
| [[Division of Bendigo|Bendigo (VIC)]]
| [[Lisa Chesters]]
| ALP
| style="text-align:center;"| 59.04
|- style="background:#fcc;"
| [[Division of Barton|Barton (NSW)]]
| [[Linda Burney]]
| ALP
| style="text-align:center;"| 59.41
|- style="background:#fcc;"
| [[Division of Makin|Makin (SA)]]
| [[Tony Zappia]]
| ALP
| style="text-align:center;"| 59.72
|-
| colspan="4"  style="text-align:center; background:red;"|<span style="color:white;">'''Safe'''</span>
|- style="background:#fbb;"
| [[Division of Corio|Corio (VIC)]]
| [[Richard Marles]]
| ALP
| style="text-align:center;"| 60.32
|- style="background:#fbb;"
| [[Division of Fenner|Fenner (ACT)]]
| [[Andrew Leigh]]
| ALP
| style="text-align:center;"| 60.56
|- style="background:#fbb;"
| [[Division of Whitlam|Whitlam (NSW)]]
| [[Stephen Jones (Australian politician)|Stephen Jones]]
| ALP
| style="text-align:center;"| 60.91
|- style="background:#fbb;"
| [[Division of Ballarat|Ballarat (VIC)]]
| [[Catherine King (politician)|Catherine King]]
| ALP
| style="text-align:center;"| 60.98
|- style="background:#fbb;"
| [[Division of Maribyrnong|Maribyrnong (VIC)]]
| [[Bill Shorten]]
| ALP
| style="text-align:center;"| 61.20
|- style="background:#fbb;"
| [[Division of Kingston|Kingston (SA)]]
| [[Amanda Rishworth]]
| ALP
| style="text-align:center;"| 61.94
|- style="background:#fbb;"
| [[Division of Franklin|Franklin (TAS)]]
| [[Julie Collins]]
| ALP
| style="text-align:center;"| 62.21
|- style="background:#fbb;"
| [[Division of Chifley|Chifley (NSW)]]
| [[Ed Husic]]
| ALP
| style="text-align:center;"| 62.37
|- style="background:#fbb;"
| [[Division of Lalor|Lalor (VIC)]]
| [[Joanne Ryan (politician)|Joanne Ryan]]
| ALP
| style="text-align:center;"| 62.41
|- style="background:#fbb;"
| [[Division of Cunningham|Cunningham (NSW)]]
| [[Sharon Bird]]
| ALP
| style="text-align:center;"| 63.41
|- style="background:#fbb;"
| [[Division of Watson|Watson (NSW)]]
| [[Tony Burke]]
| ALP
| style="text-align:center;"| 63.52
|- style="background:#fbb;"
| [[Division of Newcastle|Newcastle (NSW)]]
| [[Sharon Claydon]]
| ALP
| style="text-align:center;"| 63.83
|- style="background:#fbb;"
| [[Division of Fowler|Fowler (NSW)]]
| [[Chris Hayes (politician)|Chris Hayes]]
| ALP
| style="text-align:center;"| 63.99
|- style="background:#fbb;"
| [[Division of Spence|Spence (SA)]]
| [[Nick Champion]]
| ALP
| style="text-align:center;"| 64.13
|- style="background:#fbb;"
| [[Division of Bruce|Bruce (VIC)]]
| [[Julian Hill (politician)|Julian Hill]]
| ALP
| style="text-align:center;"| 64.15
|- style="background:#fbb;"
| [[Division of Fraser (Victoria)|Fraser (VIC)]]
| [[Daniel Mulino]]
| ALP
| style="text-align:center;"| 64.18
|- style="background:#fbb;"
| [[Division of Cooper|Cooper (VIC)]]
| [[Ged Kearney]]
| ALP v GRN
| style="text-align:center;"| 64.65
|- style="background:#fbb;"
| [[Division of Blaxland|Blaxland (NSW)]]
| [[Jason Clare]]
| ALP
| style="text-align:center;"| 64.72
|- style="background:#fbb;"
| [[Division of Gellibrand|Gellibrand (VIC)]]
| [[Tim Watts (politician)|Tim Watts]]
| ALP
| style="text-align:center;"| 64.83
|- style="background:#fbb;"
| [[Division of Gorton|Gorton (VIC)]]
| [[Brendan O'Connor (politician)|Brendan O'Connor]]
| ALP
| style="text-align:center;"| 65.36
|- style="background:#fbb;"
| [[Division of Grayndler|Grayndler (NSW)]]
| [[Anthony Albanese]]
| ALP v GRN
| style="text-align:center;"| 66.30
|- style="background:#fbb;"
| [[Division of Canberra|Canberra (ACT)]]
| [[Alicia Payne]]
| ALP
| style="text-align:center;"| 67.08
|- style="background:#fbb;"
| [[Division of Sydney|Sydney (NSW)]]
| [[Tanya Plibersek]]
| ALP
| style="text-align:center;"| 68.67
|- style="background:#fbb;"
| [[Division of Calwell|Calwell (VIC)]]
| [[Maria Vamvakinou]]
| ALP
| style="text-align:center;"| 68.80
|- style="background:#fbb;"
| [[Division of Scullin|Scullin (VIC)]]
| [[Andrew Giles]]
| ALP
| style="text-align:center;"| 71.66
|-
| colspan="4"  style="text-align:center; background:gray;"|<span style="color:white;">'''Crossbench seats'''</span>
|- style="background:#eee;"
| [[Division of Indi|Indi (VIC)]]
| [[Helen Haines]]
| IND v LIB
| style="text-align:center;"| 51.39
|- style="background:#fba978;"
| [[Division of Mayo|Mayo (SA)]]
| [[Rebekha Sharkie]]
| CA v LIB
| style="text-align:center;"| 55.14
|- style="background:#eee;"
| [[Division of Warringah|Warringah (NSW)]]
| [[Zali Steggall]]
| IND v LIB
| style="text-align:center;"| 57.24
|- style="background:#fe6f5e;"
| [[Division of Kennedy|Kennedy (Qld)]]
| [[Bob Katter]]
| KAP v LNP
| style="text-align:center;"| 63.33
|- style="background:#33ff88;"
| [[Division of Melbourne|Melbourne (VIC)]]
| [[Adam Bandt]]
| GRN v LIB
| style="text-align:center;"| 71.83
|- style="background:#eee;"
| [[Division of Clark|Clark (TAS)]]
| [[Andrew Wilkie]]
| IND v ALP
| style="text-align:center;"| 72.12
|}
{{clear}}
==References==
{{reflist}}
{{2019 Australian federal election}}
[[Category:Pendulums for Australian federal elections]]