Filtration (probability theory)

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In the theory of stochastic processes, a subdiscipline of probability theory, filtrations are totally ordered collections of subsets that are used to model the information that is available at a given point and therefore play an important role in the formalization of random (stochastic) processes.

Definition

Let (Ω,𝒜,P) be a probability space and let I be an index set with a total order (often , +, or a subset of +). For every iI let i be a sub-σ-algebra of 𝒜. Then

𝔽:=(i)iI

is called a filtration, if k for all k. So filtrations are families of σ-algebras that are ordered non-decreasingly.[1] If 𝔽 is a filtration, then (Ω,𝒜,𝔽,P) is called a filtered probability space.

Example

Let (Xn)n be a stochastic process on the probability space (Ω,𝒜,P). Let σ(Xkkn) denote the σ-algebra generated by the random variables X1,X2,,Xn. Then

n:=σ(Xkkn)

is a σ-algebra and 𝔽=(n)n is a filtration. 𝔽 really is a filtration, since by definition all n are σ-algebras and

σ(Xkkn)σ(Xkkn+1).

This is known as the natural filtration of 𝒜 with respect to (Xn)n.

Types of filtrations

Right-continuous filtration

If 𝔽=(i)iI is a filtration, then the corresponding right-continuous filtration is defined as[2]

𝔽+:=(i+)iI,

with

i+:=i<zz.

The filtration 𝔽 itself is called right-continuous if 𝔽+=𝔽.[3]

Complete filtration

Let (Ω,,P) be a probability space, and let

𝒩P:={AΩAB for some B with P(B)=0}

be the set of all sets that are contained within a P-null set. A filtration 𝔽=(i)iI is called a complete filtration, if every i contains 𝒩P. This implies (Ω,i,P) is a complete measure space for every iI. (The converse is not necessarily true.)

Augmented filtration

A filtration is called an augmented filtration if it is complete and right continuous. For every filtration 𝔽 there exists a smallest augmented filtration 𝔽~ refining 𝔽. If a filtration is an augmented filtration, it is said to satisfy the usual hypotheses or the usual conditions.[3]

See also

References

  1. Klenke, Achim (2008). Probability Theory. Berlin: Springer. p. 191. doi:10.1007/978-1-84800-048-3. ISBN 978-1-84800-047-6.
  2. Kallenberg, Olav (2017). Random Measures, Theory and Applications. Probability Theory and Stochastic Modelling. Vol. 77. Switzerland: Springer. p. 350-351. doi:10.1007/978-3-319-41598-7. ISBN 978-3-319-41596-3.
  3. 3.0 3.1 Klenke, Achim (2008). Probability Theory. Berlin: Springer. p. 462. doi:10.1007/978-1-84800-048-3. ISBN 978-1-84800-047-6.