In 2010 the 1st district included Metairie, Slidell, and parts of Kenner and New Orleans.[14] The district's population was 75 percent white, 16 percent black and 6 percent Hispanic (see Race and ethnicity in the United States census); 86 percent were high school graduates and 28 percent had received a bachelor's degree or higher. Its median income was $50,725.[15] In the 2008 presidential election the district gave 72 percent of its vote to Republican nominee John McCain and 26 percent to Democratic nominee Barack Obama.[14]
Republican Steve Scalise, who took office in May 2008, was the incumbent. Scalise was re-elected in November 2008 with 66 percent of the vote.[14] In 2010 his opponent in the general election was Democratic nominee Myron Katz, who ran with the intention of raising awareness about energy conservation in homebuilding. Former lawyer Arden Wells, who does not belong to a party recognized by the state of Louisiana, also ran.[16]
Scalise raised $1,358,024 and spent $1,007,474. Katz raised $64,420 and spent $60,708.[17] Prior to the election FiveThirtyEight's forecast gave Scalise a 100 percent chance of winning and projected that he would receive 72 percent of the vote to Katz's 25 percent.[18] On election day Scalise was re-elected with 79 percent of the vote to Katz's 19 percent.[19] Scalise was again re-elected in 2012[20] and 2014.[21]
General election results
Louisiana's 1st district general election, 2010[19][22]
The 2nd district included parts of New Orleans and Marrero.[23] The district's population was 57 percent black, 32 percent white and 6 percent Hispanic (see Race and ethnicity in the United States census); 78 percent were high school graduates and 20 percent had received a bachelor's degree or higher. Its median income was $40,061.[24] In the 2008 presidential election the district gave 75 percent of its vote to Democratic nominee Barack Obama and 23 percent to Republican nominee John McCain.[23] In 2010 the district had a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+25.[4]
Republican Joseph Cao, who took office in 2009, was the incumbent. Cao was elected in 2008 with 50 percent of the vote.[23] In 2010 Cao's opponent in the general election was Democratic nominee Cedric Richmond, a member of the Louisiana House of Representatives.[25] Anthony Marquize, a minister and businessman; and Jack Radosta, a carpenter and actor, ran as independent candidates.[26] Ron Austin, a lawyer, also ran as an independent candidate[27] but ended his campaign in September 2010.[28]
Eugene Green, the former chief of staff to U.S. Representative William J. Jefferson; Gary Johnson, a former research director for the United States House Committee on Rules; and Juan LaFonta, a member of the Louisiana House of Representatives, also sought the Democratic nomination.[29] In a poll of 341 likely Democratic primary voters, conducted in June 2010 by Zata 3 Consulting for Richmond's campaign, 53 percent supported Richmond while 13 percent favored LaFonta and 34 percent were undecided.[30]Karen Carter Peterson, a member of the Louisiana State Senate, said in July 2010 that she would not seek the Democratic nomination.[31]
Cao raised $2,079,915 and spent $2,097,806. Richmond raised $1,139,879 and spent $1,134,506. Marquize raised $14,021 and spent the same amount. Austin raised $7,300 and spent the same amount.[32] Green raised $85,248 and spent $85,395.[33] Johnson raised $15,561 and spent $15,538.[34] LaFonta raised $359,927 and spent $353,268.[35]
In a poll of 400 likely voters, conducted by Market Research Insights in May and June 2010, 51 percent of respondents supported Cao while 26 percent favored Richmond.[36] A poll published by Anzalone-Liszt in September 2010 found Richmond leading Cao by 45 percent to 35 percent.[37] In a poll of 605 likely voters, conducted by Public Policy Polling for Daily Kos on October 2 and 3, 2010, Richmond led with 49 percent to Cao's 38 percent while 13 percent remained undecided.[38] A poll of 500 likely voters, conducted by Zata|3 Consulting on October 20, 2010, found Richmond leading with 53 percent to Cao's 36 percent, while 2 percent supported Marquize, 1 percent chose Radosta and 8 percent were undecided.[39] In a poll of 400 likely voters, conducted by Anzalone-Liszt on October 20 and 21, 2010, Richmond led with 49 percent to Cao's 32 percent.[40]Sabato's Crystal Ball rated the race as "Leans Democratic".[6] In October 2010 The Cook Political Report rated the race as "Lean Democratic"[4] while CQ Politics rated the race as "Likely Democratic".[3] In November 2010 The Rothenberg Political Report rated the race as "Democrat Favored".[5] Prior to the election FiveThirtyEight's forecast gave Richmond a 92 percent chance of winning, and projected that he would receive 55 percent of the vote to Cao's 42 percent.[41] On election day Richmond was elected with 65 percent of the vote to Cao's 33 percent.[19] Cao ran for Attorney General of Louisiana in 2011, but ended his campaign in September of that year.[42] Richmond was re-elected in 2012[43] and 2014.[44]
Democratic primary results
Louisiana's 2nd district Democratic primary, August 28, 2010[45]
The 3rd district included Houma, Laplace and New Iberia.[46] The district's population was 66 percent white and 27 percent black (see Race and ethnicity in the United States census); 74 percent were high school graduates and 13 percent had received a bachelor's degree or higher. Its median income was $44,887.[47] In the 2008 presidential election the district gave 61 percent of its vote to Republican nominee John McCain and 37 percent to Democratic nominee Barack Obama.[46] The district had a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+12.[4]
Democrat Charlie Melançon, who took office in 2005, was the incumbent. He was re-elected unopposed in 2008.[46] In 2010, Melançon ran for the U.S. Senate rather than seeking re-election.[10] The candidates in the general election were Democratic nominee Ravi Sangisetty and Republican nominee Jeff Landry, both lawyers.[48] Sangisetty was unopposed in the Democratic primary.[49]Hunt Downer, a former speaker of the Louisiana House of Representatives; and Kristian Magar, an oil field manager, also sought the Republican nomination.[50] Both parties had attempted to recruit Scott Angelle, the Secretary of the Louisiana Department of Natural Resources, but he declined their overtures.[51]
Sangisetty raised $828,014 and spent $836,316. Landry raised $1,362,786 and spent $1,360,649.[52] Downer raised $698,604 and spent $700,614.[53] Magar raised $37,751 and spent the same amount.[54]Sabato's Crystal Ball rated the race as "Likely Republican".[7] In October 2010 The Cook Political Report rated the race as "Likely Republican".[4] In November 2010 The Rothenberg Political Report rated the race as "Republican Favored".[5] Prior to the election FiveThirtyEight's forecast gave Landry a 94 percent chance of winning and projected that he would receive 55 percent of the vote to Sangisetti's 43 percent.[55] On election day Landry was elected with 64 percent of the vote to Sangisetty's 36 percent.[19] Landry unsuccessfully ran for re-election in 2012.[56]
Republican primary results
Louisiana's 3rd district Republican primary, August 28, 2010[45]
The 4th district included Bossier City, Natchitoches and Shreveport.[58] The district's population was 60 percent white and 34 percent black (see Race and ethnicity in the United States census); 82 percent were high school graduates and 18 percent had received a bachelor's degree or higher. Its median income was $38,436.[59] In the 2008 presidential election the district gave 59 percent of its vote to Republican nominee John McCain and 40 percent to Democratic nominee Barack Obama.[58]
Republican John Fleming, who took office in 2009, was the incumbent. Fleming was elected in 2008 with 48 percent of the vote.[58] In 2010 his opponent in the general election was Democratic nominee David Melville, a minister. Independent candidate Artis Cash also ran.[60] Fleming was unopposed in the Republican primary. Steven Gavi, a retail manager, also sought the Democratic nomination.[61]
Fleming raised $1,448,369 and spent $1,271,950. Melville raised $229,079 and spent $228,313. Cash raised $350 and spent no money.[62]
Prior to the election FiveThirtyEight's forecast gave Fleming a 100 percent chance of winning and projected that he would receive 63 percent of the vote to Melville's 35 percent.[63] On election day Fleming was re-elected with 62 percent of the vote to Melville's 32 percent.[19] Fleming was again re-elected in 2012[64] and 2014.[65]
Democratic primary results
Louisiana's 4th district Republican primary, August 28, 2010[45]
The 6th district included Baton Rouge and Prairieville.[75] The district's population was 60 percent white and 34 percent black (see Race and ethnicity in the United States census); 85 percent were high school graduates and 26 percent had received a bachelor's degree or higher. Its median income was $47,840.[76] In the 2008 presidential election the district gave 57 percent of its vote to Republican nominee John McCain and 41 percent to Democratic nominee Barack Obama.[75]
Republican Bill Cassidy, who took office in 2009, was the incumbent. Cassidy was elected in 2008 with 48 percent of the vote.[75] In 2010 his opponent in the general election was Democratic nominee Merritt McDonald Sr., a retired engineer.[77] Cassidy and McDonald were both unopposed in their parties' primaries.[76]
Cassidy raised $1,584,256 and spent $738,171.[78] Prior to the election FiveThirtyEight's forecast gave Cassidy a 100 percent chance of winning and projected that he would receive 64 percent of the vote to McDonald's 33 percent.[79] On election day Cassidy was re-elected with 66 percent of the vote to McDonald's 34 percent.[19] Cassidy was again re-elected in 2012,[80] and was elected to the U.S. Senate in 2014.[81]
General election results
Louisiana's 6th district general election, November 2, 2010[19]
