2024 Bay of Quinte provincial by-election

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2024 Bay of Quinte provincial by-election

← 2022 September 19, 2024 (2024-09-19) 44th →

Riding of Bay of Quinte
Turnout38.45% (Decrease 7.46)
  First party Second party Third party
 
PC
LIB
NDP
Candidate Tyler Allsopp Sean Kelly Amanda Robertson
Party Progressive Conservative Liberal New Democratic
Last election 49.30% 18.45% 20.92%
Popular vote 14,430 12,428 8,607
Percentage 38.69% 33.32% 23.08%
Swing Decrease 10.61 pp Increase 14.87 pp Increase 2.16 pp

MPP before election

Todd Smith
PC

Elected MPP

Tyler Allsopp
PC

A by-election was held in the provincial riding of Bay of Quinte on September 19, 2024, to elect a new member of the Legislative Assembly of Ontario following the resignation of Progressive Conservative MPP and cabinet minister Todd Smith for a new job in the private sector.[1] It resulted in the victory of PC candidate Tyler Allsopp, though by a reduced margin compared to his predecessor.

Opinion polls

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling
Link PC OLP ONDP Green Other Margin
of Error
Sample
Size
Polling Method
By-election 2024 September 19, 2024 38.69 33.32 23.08 3.17 1.74
Liaison Strategies September 9, 2024 [2] 35 36 18 5 6 ±4.21 pp 541 IVR
Election 2022 June 2, 2022 49.30 18.45 20.92 6.27 5.06

Results

Ontario provincial by-election, September 19, 2024
Resignation of Todd Smith
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Progressive Conservative Tyler Allsopp 14,430 38.69 -10.61
Liberal Sean Kelly 12,428 33.32 +14.87
New Democratic Amanda Robertson 8,607 23.08 +2.16
Green Lori Borthwick 1,186 3.18 -3.09
New Blue Margaret Schuler 369 0.99 -1.61
Independent John Turmel 149 0.40
Libertarian Mark Snow 129 0.35
Total valid votes/Expense limit
Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots
Turnout 38.45
Eligible voters 97,016

See also

References

  1. Westoll, Nick (August 16, 2024). "Todd Smith, Ontario education minister and Bay of Quinte MPP, to resign". CityNews Toronto. Retrieved August 26, 2024.
  2. "Liberals Lead by 1 in Bay of Quinte, a statistical tie".