Opinion polling for the 2021 Canadian federal election by constituency
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Part of a series on the |
44th Canadian Parliament |
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Various polling organizations have been conducting opinion polling in specific ridings in the lead up to the 2021 Canadian federal election. The results of publicized opinion polling for individual constituencies are detailed in this article. Given the cost associated with polling individual constituencies, polling typically occurs in constituencies that are of particular interest, such as those considered marginal or facing an impending by-election. However, it's important to note that the constituencies polled may not necessarily be representative of a national average swing. Under the first-past-the-post electoral system, true marginal seats, by definition, hold significant influence over the outcome of the election.
Constituency polls
Alberta
Banff—Airdrie
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Spadina Strategies | September 14, 2021 | HTML | 12.9 | 43.7 | 11.7 | 1.3 | 9.8 | 13.1 | 6.7 | ±5.23 pp | 350 | IVR |
Calgary Skyview
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 20, 2021 | 37.6 | 35.4 | 12.8 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 9.2 | ±5.6 pp | 303 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 28.3 | 52.5 | 14.9 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.5 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 50,552 | Election |
Edmonton Centre
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 28, 2021 | 40 | 26 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | ±5.6 pp | 303 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 33.0 | 41.5 | 20.6 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 0.8 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 53,092 | Election |
Edmonton Griesbach
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Other | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 12, 2021 | 19.0 | 38.4 | 28.2 | 1.7 | 3.9 | 3.7 | 5.1 | ±4.6 pp | 454 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 17.3 | 51.4 | 25.1 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 1.4 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 46,963 | Election |
Edmonton Mill Woods
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 9, 2021 | 37 | 35.4 | 14.4 | 1.4 | 6.9 | 1.6 | 3.3 | ±5 pp | 299 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 33.6 | 50.3 | 12.1 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 0.4 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 53,177 | Election |
British Columbia
Burnaby North—Seymour
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 7, 2021 | 28.1 | 29.6 | 26 | 5.2 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 7.9 | ±5 pp | 379 | IVR | |
Mainstreet Research | August 5, 2021 | HTML | 32.8 | 22.7 | 13.2 | N/A | N/A | 6.2 | 25.1 | ±4.1 pp | 558 | IVR |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 35.5 | 19.5 | 32.3 | 9.6 | 2.2 | 1 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 50,525 | Election |
Cloverdale—Langley City
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 12, 2021 | 28 | 40 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 2 | ±5.6 pp | 307 | IVR |
Delta
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 30, 2021 | 34 | 36 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | ±5.6 pp | 304 | IVR |
Nanaimo—Ladysmith
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oracle Poll | September 7, 2021 | HTML | 7.6 | 21.0 | 19.0 | 27.8 | 1.0 | N/A | 23.6 | ±4.4 pp | 500 | Telephone |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 13.6 | 25.9 | 23.6 | 34.6 | 1.5 | 0.9 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 53,296 | Election |
Pitt Meadows—Maple Ridge
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 28, 2021 | 26 | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | ±5.6 pp | 306 | IVR |
Port Moody—Coquitlam
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 13, 2021 | 24.4 | 29.0 | 29.5 | 3.6 | 8.9 | 2.0 | 2.7 | ±5.5 pp | 320 | IVR |
Surrey Centre
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 4, 2021 | 37 | 22 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 | ±6.3 pp | 285 | IVR |
Vancouver Granville
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 15, 2021 | 33 | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15 | ±5.9 pp | 280 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 26.6 | 21.9 | 13.1 | 5.1 | 0.8 | 32.6 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 53,296 | Election |
Vancouver South
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 15, 2021 | 39 | 17 | 25 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 8 | ±6.3 pp | 242 | IVR |
West Vancouver—Sunshine Coast—Sea to Sky Country
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 5, 2021 | 25.1 | 42.3 | 15.1 | 6.2 | 5.1 | 0.7 | 5.4 | ±3.8 pp | 662 | IVR | |
Mainstreet Research | August 5, 2021 | HTML | 23.1 | 27.5 | 19.4 | 11.9 | N/A | 4 | 14.1 | ±3.9 pp | 624 | IVR |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 34.9 | 26.7 | 13.9 | 22.4 | 1.6 | 0.5 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 64,980 | Election |
Manitoba
Charleswood—St. James—Assiniboia—Headingley
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Other | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 20, 2021 | 36.2 | 37.0 | 10.8 | 1.8 | 3.0 | 1.4 | 9.8 | ± pp | 317 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 35.5 | 40.7 | 14.2 | 4.7 | 4.3 | 0.7 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 46,228 | Election |
Kildonan—St. Paul
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 14, 2021 | 33 | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 7 | ±5.5 pp | 322 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 27.9 | 44.8 | 21.2 | 4.0 | 1.2 | 0.9 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 44,298 | Election |
Winnipeg South
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 8, 2021 | 43.4 | 28.1 | 16.3 | 2 | 3.4 | 0 | 6.9 | ±5 pp | 304 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 42.1 | 38.7 | 13.9 | 4.3 | 0.9 | N/A | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 47,889 | Election |
Newfoundland and Labrador
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 9, 2021 | 43.2 | 30.5 | 10.5 | 0.6 | 3.4 | 1 | 10.9 | ±5 pp | 298 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 45.7 | 39.5 | 12.0 | 2.9 | N/A | N/A | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 32,179 | Election |
St. John’s East
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 7, 2021 | 45.3 | 15.2 | 26.7 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 0 | 9 | ±5.1 pp | 363 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 33.2 | 18.1 | 46.9 | 1.8 | N/A | N/A | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 42,940 | Election |
New Brunswick
Fredericton
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 1, 2021 | 40 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 5 | ±5.6 pp | 307 | IVR |
Saint John—Rothesay
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 1, 2021 | 42 | 30 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7 | ±5.7 pp | 300 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 37.4 | 34.0 | 12.2 | 10.1 | 3.1 | 3.2 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 42,940 | Election |
Nova Scotia
Cape Breton—Canso
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 19, 2021 | 39.3 | 37.6 | 8.2 | 1.9 | 3.6 | 2.3 | 7.1 | ±5 pp | 301 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 38.9 | 34.5 | 14.8 | 7.7 | 2.2 | 1.9 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 42,940 | Election |
Sydney—Victoria
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 7, 2021 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10 | ±4.7 pp | 442 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 30.9 | 27.7 | 20.1 | 5.5 | N/A | 21.3 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 40,565 | Election |
West Nova
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 14, 2021 | 38 | 34 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 3 | ±6 pp | 262 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 36.4 | 39.3 | 10.7 | 12.7 | N/A | 0.9 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 46,798 | Election |
Ontario
Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Other | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 23, 2021 | HTML | 47 | 34 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 2 | N/A | ±5 pp | 309 | IVR |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 42.4 | 44.4 | 7.2 | 4.1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 53,109 | Election |
Davenport
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 8, 2021 | 46 | 11 | 28 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 5 | ±5.6 pp | 303 | IVR |
Elgin—Middlesex—London
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 11, 2021 | 32 | 36 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 5 | ±5.1 pp | 294 | IVR |
Flamborough—Glanbrook
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 15, 2021 | 30 | 33 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 7 | ±5.6 pp | 303 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 36.5 | 39.2 | 16.5 | 6.13 | 1.5 | N/A | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 62,920 | Election |
Hamilton East—Stoney Creek
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 27, 2021 | 28 | 25 | 26 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 10 | ±5.6 pp | 305 | IVR |
Kanata—Carleton
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 8, 2021 | 36.3 | 32.8 | 18.5 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 6.2 | ±5 pp | 297 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 43 | 36.5 | 12.5 | 6.6 | 1.4 | N/A | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 66,772 | Election |
King—Vaughan
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 16, 2021 | 48.1 | 38.6 | 7.4 | 1.6 | 3.7 | 0.2 | 0.4 | ±5.6 pp | 298 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 45 | 43.2 | 6.7 | 3.9 | 1.1 | N/A | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 64,446 | Election |
Kitchener Centre
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 18, 2021 | HTML | 34 | 27 | 13 | 20 | 5 | 0 | N/A | ±5.9 pp | 287 | IVR |
Mainstreet Research | August 24, 2021 | 27.8 | 23.4 | 23.6 | 11.9 | 1.2 | 6.7 | 5.5 | ±5.9 pp | 280 | IVR | |
Mainstreet Research | August 5, 2021 | HTML | 25.8 | 17.9 | 11.1 | 14.3 | N/A | 4 | 26.8 | ±4 pp | 601 | IVR |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 36.7 | 23.8 | 11.3 | 26 | 1.9 | 0.4 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 55,374 | Election |
Niagara Centre
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 10, 2021 | 35 | 27 | 17 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 8 | ±5 pp | 301 | IVR |
Oakville
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 30, 2021 | 40 | 39 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | ±5.5 pp | 314 | IVR |
Ottawa Centre
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 23, 2021 | 42 | 21 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | ±5.3 pp | 344 | IVR |
Parkdale—High Park
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 5, 2021 | HTML | 34.5 | 14.3 | 16.6 | 8.8 | N/A | 2.9 | 23 | ±4 pp | 600 | IVR |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 47.4 | 13.2 | 31.5 | 6.4 | 1.1 | 1.1 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 60,887 | Election |
Peterborough—Kawartha
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 1, 2021 | 25.8 | 37.5 | 17.9 | 8.6 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 5.9 | ±5.7 pp | 291 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 39.3 | 34.9 | 17.1 | 7.1 | 1.3 | 0.5 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 69,801 | Election |
Spadina—Fort York
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 15, 2021 | 47.5 | 18.9 | 12 | 3.7 | 3.9 | 3.9 | 10.1 | ±4.1 pp | 574 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 55.8 | 17.6 | 20.1 | 5.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 60,887 | Election |
St. Catharines
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 2, 2021 | 30 | 34 | 21 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 | ±5.9 pp | 273 | IVR |
Toronto Centre
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 5, 2021 | HTML | 39.9 | 8.6 | 9.5 | 15.5 | N/A | 2.3 | 24.3 | ±4.1 pp | 574 | IVR |
2020 By-election | October 26, 2020 | HTML | 42 | 5.7 | 17 | 32.7 | 1.1 | 1.6 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 25,205 | Election |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 57.4 | 12.1 | 22.3 | 7.1 | N/A | 1.2 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 54,512 | Election |
Windsor—Tecumseh
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 16, 2021 | 26.8 | 18.8 | 28.1 | 3.5 | 16.6 | 0.8 | 5.5 | ±4.9 pp | 390 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 33.4 | 27.8 | 32.3 | 3.8 | 2.2 | 0.3 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 56,957 | Election |
Prince Edward Island
Malpeque
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 5, 2021 | HTML | 36.5 | 25.3 | 7 | 12.1 | N/A | 0.2 | 19 | ±5.9 pp | 280 | IVR |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 41.4 | 25.6 | 6.5 | 26.5 | N/A | 0.4 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 23,039 | Election |
Quebec
Abitibi—Témiscamingue
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Bloc | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SOM | March 29, 2021 | HTML | 25 | 9 | 5.5 | 20 | N/A | N/A | 6 | 35 | ±5.1 pp | 501 | IVR |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 25 | 15 | 10 | 45.5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 50,155 | Election |
Beauport—Limoilou
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Bloc | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 4, 2021 | 26 | 30 | 12 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | ±5.5 pp | 313 | IVR |
Berthier—Maskinongé
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Bloc | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 10, 2021 | 16.7 | 14.2 | 14.1 | 35.1 | 3.8 | 7.4 | 1.3 | 7.5 | ±5.6 pp | 308 | IVR |
Châteauguay—Lacolle
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Bloc | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 4, 2021 | 33 | 17 | 8 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 5 | ±5.1 pp | 370 | IVR |
Jonquière
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Bloc | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 2, 2021 | 24.0 | 27.7 | 6.6 | 24.5 | 4.2 | 1.5 | 2.9 | 8.5 | ±5.5 pp | 314 | IVR |
La Prairie
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Bloc | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 11, 2021 | 31.0 | 14.4 | 5.4 | 40.8 | 0.4 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 3.3 | ±5.2 pp | 355 | IVR |
Longueuil—Saint-Hubert
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Bloc | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 27, 2021 | 42.4 | 5.1 | 6.1 | 34.1 | 4.0 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 6.4 | ±5.6 pp | 311 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 34.2 | 6.3 | 8.5 | 38.5 | 6.1 | 1.3 | 0.4 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 59,844 | Election |
Pontiac
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Bloc | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 19, 2021 | 33 | 24 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12 | ±4.9 pp | 398 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 48.9 | 16.8 | 10.5 | 16.1 | 6.1 | 1.3 | 0.4 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 62,508 | Election |
Rivière-des-Mille-Îles
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Bloc | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 31, 2021 | 29 | 17 | 8 | 33 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 | ±4.7 pp | 436 | IVR |
Shefford
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Bloc | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 29, 2021 | 29 | 19 | 3 | 31 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6 | ±5.5 pp | 322 | IVR |
Thérèse-De Blainville
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Bloc | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 13, 2021 | 38.2 | 10.8 | 4.6 | 40.1 | 1.1 | 2.8 | 0.2 | 2.2 | ±6.6 pp | 221 | IVR |
Trois-Rivières
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Bloc | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 15, 2021 | 28 | 32 | 2 | 28 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | ±5 pp | 300 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 26 | 25.2 | 16.7 | 28.5 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.2 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 60,538 | Election |
Saskatchewan
Saskatoon West
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 25, 2021 | 19 | 28.6 | 28.8 | 2.4 | 5.2 | 1.2 | 15.5 | ±5.6 pp | 305 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 7.3 | 47.7 | 40.3 | 2.7 | 2.0 | N/A | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 38,985 | Election |
See also
- Opinion polling for the 2019 Canadian federal election by constituency
- Opinion polling for the 2021 Canadian federal election
Notes
Notes
- 1 In cases when linked poll details distinguish between the margin of error associated with the total sample of respondents (including undecided and non-voters) and that of the subsample of decided/leaning voters, the latter is included in the table. Also not included is the margin of error created by rounding to the nearest whole number or any margin of error from methodological sources. Most online polls—because of their opt-in method of recruiting panellists which results in a non-random sample—cannot have a margin of error.[1] In such cases, shown is what the margin of error would be for a survey using a random probability-based sample of equivalent size.[2]
- 2 Refers to the total sample size, including undecided and non-voters.
- 3 "Telephone" refers to traditional telephone polls conducted by live interviewers; "IVR" refers to automated Interactive Voice Response polls conducted by telephone; "online" refers to polls conducted exclusively over the internet; "telephone/online" refers to polls which combine results from both telephone and online surveys, or for which respondents are initially recruited by telephone and then asked to complete an online survey.
References
- ↑ "MRIA Responds to "Evaluating the Polls: An Open Letter to Ontario's Journalists"". Marketing Research and Intelligence Association. September 16, 2011. Archived from the original on February 22, 2012. Retrieved October 6, 2012.
- ↑ American Association for Public Opinion Research (undated), Best Practices for Survey and Public Opinion Research Archived November 30, 2014, at the Wayback Machine, retrieved October 17, 2012