Stability postulate

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In probability theory, to obtain a nondegenerate limiting distribution of the extreme value distribution, it is necessary to "reduce" the actual greatest value by applying a linear transformation with coefficients that depend on the sample size. If X1,X2,,Xn are independent random variables with common probability density function

pXj(x)=f(x),

then the cumulative distribution function of X'n=max{X1,,Xn} is

FX'n=[F(x)]n

If there is a limiting distribution of interest, the stability postulate states that the limiting distribution is some sequence of transformed "reduced" values, such as (anX'n+bn), where an,bn may depend on n but not on x. To distinguish the limiting cumulative distribution function from the "reduced" greatest value from F(x), we will denote it by G(x). It follows that G(x) must satisfy the functional equation

[G(x)]n=G(anx+bn)

This equation was obtained by Maurice René Fréchet and also by Ronald Fisher. Boris Vladimirovich Gnedenko has shown there are no other distributions satisfying the stability postulate other than the following:[1]

  • Gumbel distribution for the minimum stability postulate
    • If Xi=Gumbel(μ,β) and Y=min{X1,,Xn} then YanX+bn where an=1 and bn=βlog(n)
    • In other words, YGumbel(μβlog(n),β)
  • Extreme value distribution for the maximum stability postulate
    • If Xi=EV(μ,σ) and Y=max{X1,,Xn} then YanX+bn where an=1 and bn=σlog(1n)
    • In other words, YEV(μσlog(1n),σ)
  • Fréchet distribution for the maximum stability postulate
    • If Xi=Frechet(α,s,m) and Y=max{X1,,Xn} then YanX+bn where an=n1α and bn=m(1n1α)
    • In other words, YFrechet(α,n1αs,m)

References

  1. Gnedenko, B. (1943). "Sur La Distribution Limite Du Terme Maximum D'Une Serie Aleatoire". Annals of Mathematics. 44 (3): 423–453. doi:10.2307/1968974.